Game preview · Sat 3:00 PM MT

Denver Nuggets at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and Win Meter

Denver Nuggets → Cleveland Cavaliers →

The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers at home against the Nuggets on Saturday, January 9, at about 62%. That is a real edge, but the Nuggets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 62%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 112, Cleveland Cavaliers 115. The rating gap is 15 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 38 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.

Recent form

The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9. The Cavaliers are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.

The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Khalifa Diop (CLE), and Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE).

Day to day or questionable: Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 4-0, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Nuggets by an average of 8.3 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 119, DEN 117.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Nuggets1-4, -9 avg margin
Cavaliers0-5, -17 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Cavaliers.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 9: CLE 119, DEN 117
  • Jan 2: DEN 108, CLE 113
  • Dec 27: CLE 149, DEN 135
  • Dec 5: DEN 114, CLE 126

Injury report

Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Out · back Oct 26
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29
  • Cameron Johnson Out · back Oct 26
  • Alpha Diallo Questionable · back Oct 24
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out

Win Meter

38%
62%
NuggetsCavaliers

Projected score: Nuggets 112, Cavaliers 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

38%
62%
NuggetsCavaliers

Matchup at a glance

DENCLE
Record0-10-1
Last 5LLWLLLLLLL
Points per game84106
Allowed per game96114
Days of rest––
Rating15881573

More