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Detroit Pistons at Los Angeles Lakers: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Los Angeles Lakers →

Detroit Pistons at Los Angeles Lakers on Friday, January 8 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Lakers at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 56%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 112, Los Angeles Lakers 114. The rating gap is 58 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Pistons would win.

Recent form

The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Jalen Duren (DET), Cameron Carr (LAL), and Adou Thiero (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 4-0, with the Pistons outscoring the Lakers by an average of 10 points per game. The last meeting was LAL 110, DET 113.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin
Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Lakers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 23: LAL 110, DET 113
  • Dec 30: DET 128, LAL 106
  • Dec 23: DET 117, LAL 114
  • Nov 4: LAL 103, DET 115

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Day to day · back Oct 25
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Adou Thiero Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jake LaRavia Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

44%
56%
PistonsLakers

Projected score: Pistons 112, Lakers 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

44%
56%
PistonsLakers

Matchup at a glance

DETLAL
Record2-02-0
Last 5LWLWWLLLWW
Points per game124.5126
Allowed per game112111
Days of rest––
Rating16361578

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