Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs on Friday, January 8 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Spurs about a 92% chance, and the Grizzlies would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 92%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 106, San Antonio Spurs 121. The rating gap is 320 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 13 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2. The Spurs are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM) and Tobias Harris (SAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Spurs by an average of 2.2 points per game. The last meeting was SAS 123, MEM 98.