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Orlando Magic at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → New Orleans Pelicans →

Orlando Magic at New Orleans Pelicans on Friday, January 8 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Magic at only 51%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Magic 51%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 113, New Orleans Pelicans 113. The rating gap is 107 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 49 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

Recent form

The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4. The Pelicans are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Pelicans' best recent win was 156-137 at home against UTA.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026 and Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL), Jonathan Isaac (ORL), Paolo Banchero (ORL), and Yves Missi (NOP). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Magic lead 4-0, with the Magic outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 15.2 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 112, NOP 108.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin
Pelicans1-4, -3.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 5: ORL 112, NOP 108
  • Jan 11: NOP 118, ORL 128
  • Mar 13: ORL 113, NOP 93
  • Nov 8: NOP 88, ORL 115

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Day to day · back Oct 25
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Day to day · back Oct 24

Win Meter

51%
49%
MagicPelicans

Projected score: Magic 113, Pelicans 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

51%
49%
MagicPelicans

Matchup at a glance

ORLNOP
Record0-20-2
Last 5LLLLLWLLLL
Points per game109119.5
Allowed per game123.5121.5
Days of rest––
Rating15171410

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