Utah Jazz at Toronto Raptors on Friday, January 8 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Raptors about a 87% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 87%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 107, Toronto Raptors 119. The rating gap is 232 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026 and Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Trey Alexander (UTA). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 4-0, with the Raptors outscoring the Jazz by an average of 10 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 143, UTA 127.