Game preview · Fri 5:00 PM MT

Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Miami Heat → Philadelphia 76ers →

The Win Meter favors the 76ers at home against the Heat on Friday, January 8, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Heat are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 73%, with a projected score of Miami Heat 110, Philadelphia 76ers 116. The rating gap is 72 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Heat are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.2. The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2.

The Heat's best recent win was 143-117 at home against ATL.

The Heat were beaten 131-106 at home by MIN not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Dean Wade (PHI) and LeBron James (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Heat lead 6-1, with the Heat outscoring the 76ers by an average of 10.3 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 109, MIA 119.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Heat2-3, +1.2 avg margin
76ers2-3, -7.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 30: PHI 109, MIA 119
  • Feb 26: MIA 117, PHI 124
  • Nov 23: MIA 127, PHI 117
  • Apr 7: PHI 105, MIA 117
  • Mar 29: MIA 118, PHI 95

Injury report

Miami Heat

No reported injuries.

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • Dean Wade Questionable · back Oct 24
  • LeBron James Questionable · back Oct 24

Win Meter

27%
73%
Heat76ers

Projected score: Heat 110, 76ers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
Heat76ers

Matchup at a glance

MIAPHI
Record0-22-0
Last 5WWLLLLLLWW
Points per game108.5110
Allowed per game129.5103
Days of rest––
Rating14851557

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