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Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → Los Angeles Lakers →

The edge goes to the Lakers at home against the Celtics on Thursday, January 7, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Celtics are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 60%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 112, Los Angeles Lakers 114. The rating gap is 31 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Celtics would win.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Cameron Carr (LAL), Adou Thiero (LAL), and Jake LaRavia (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 3-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Lakers by an average of 8 points per game. The last meeting was BOS 111, LAL 89.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Lakers.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 22: BOS 111, LAL 89
  • Dec 5: LAL 105, BOS 126
  • Mar 8: LAL 101, BOS 111
  • Jan 23: BOS 96, LAL 117

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Adou Thiero Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jake LaRavia Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

40%
60%
CelticsLakers

Projected score: Celtics 112, Lakers 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

40%
60%
CelticsLakers

Matchup at a glance

BOSLAL
Record1-12-0
Last 5LLLLWLLLWW
Points per game110126
Allowed per game112111
Days of rest––
Rating16091578

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