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Detroit Pistons at Golden State Warriors: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Golden State Warriors →

The Win Meter favors the Pistons on the road against the Warriors on Thursday, January 7, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Warriors are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pistons 65%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 115, Golden State Warriors 111. The rating gap is 204 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Warriors would win.

Recent form

The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Brandin Podziemski (GSW), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Jalen Duren (DET), and Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Pistons outscoring the Warriors by an average of 3.2 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 101, DET 115.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin
Warriors1-4, -8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Pistons arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-W-L-L-L).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Warriors.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 20: GSW 101, DET 115
  • Jan 30: DET 131, GSW 124
  • Mar 8: DET 110, GSW 115
  • Jan 9: GSW 107, DET 104

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Day to day · back Oct 25
Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Brandin Podziemski Out · back Oct 26

Win Meter

65%
35%
PistonsWarriors

Projected score: Pistons 115, Warriors 111

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

65%
35%
PistonsWarriors

Matchup at a glance

DETGSW
Record2-00-2
Last 5LWLWWLWLLL
Points per game124.5106.5
Allowed per game112119
Days of rest––
Rating16361432

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