The edge goes to the Raptors at home against the Timberwolves on Thursday, January 7, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Timberwolves are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 58%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 112, Toronto Raptors 114. The rating gap is 43 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027 and Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 3-1, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Raptors by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 107, MIN 115.