Game preview · Thu 5:30 PM MT

Miami Heat at Brooklyn Nets: preview and Win Meter

Miami Heat → Brooklyn Nets →

The Win Meter favors the Heat on the road against the Nets on Thursday, January 7, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Nets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Heat 61%, with a projected score of Miami Heat 114, Brooklyn Nets 112. The rating gap is 176 points in favor of the Heat, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Nets would win.

Recent form

The Heat are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.2. The Nets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -16.4.

The Heat's best recent win was 143-117 at home against ATL.

The Heat were beaten 131-106 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Heat lead 5-1, with the Heat outscoring the Nets by an average of 10.2 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 110, MIA 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Heat2-3, +1.2 avg margin
Nets1-4, -16.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Nets.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 5: BKN 110, MIA 126
  • Mar 3: BKN 98, MIA 124
  • Dec 18: MIA 106, BKN 95
  • Feb 7: MIA 86, BKN 102
  • Jan 25: MIA 106, BKN 97

Injury report

Miami Heat

No reported injuries.

Brooklyn Nets
  • Tyler Bilodeau Out · back Oct 25

Win Meter

61%
39%
HeatNets

Projected score: Heat 114, Nets 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

61%
39%
HeatNets

Matchup at a glance

MIABKN
Record0-20-1
Last 5WWLLLWLLLL
Points per game108.5103
Allowed per game129.5110
Days of rest––
Rating14851309

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