Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Wizards on Thursday, January 7 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Thunder about a 87% chance, and the Wizards would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 87%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 119, Washington Wizards 107. The rating gap is 427 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4. The Wizards are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: AJ Dybantsa (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 4-0, with the Thunder outscoring the Wizards by an average of 24.7 points per game. The last meeting was OKC 132, WAS 111.