Game preview · Thu 5:00 PM MT

Denver Nuggets at Charlotte Hornets: preview and Win Meter

Denver Nuggets → Charlotte Hornets →

The Win Meter favors the Hornets at home against the Nuggets on Thursday, January 7, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Nuggets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 59%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 112, Charlotte Hornets 114. The rating gap is 35 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.

Recent form

The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9. The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.

The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Alpha Diallo (DEN), Coby White (CHA), Kon Knueppel (CHA), and Grant Williams (CHA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 3-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Hornets by an average of 0.7 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 110, DEN 87.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Nuggets1-4, -9 avg margin
Hornets3-2, -11.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-W-L-W-L against L-L-W-L-L).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hornets.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 18: CHA 110, DEN 87
  • Dec 7: DEN 115, CHA 106
  • Feb 20: CHA 115, DEN 129
  • Feb 1: DEN 107, CHA 104

Injury report

Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Out · back Oct 26
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29
  • Cameron Johnson Out · back Oct 26
  • Alpha Diallo Questionable · back Oct 24
Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Kon Knueppel Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Grant Williams Day to day · back Oct 24

Win Meter

41%
59%
NuggetsHornets

Projected score: Nuggets 112, Hornets 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

41%
59%
NuggetsHornets

Matchup at a glance

DENCHA
Record0-11-1
Last 5LLWLLWWLWL
Points per game8495.5
Allowed per game96115.5
Days of rest––
Rating15881553

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