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New York Knicks at Golden State Warriors: preview and Win Meter

New York Knicks → Golden State Warriors →

The edge goes to the Knicks on the road against the Warriors on Wednesday, January 6, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Warriors are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Knicks 74%, with a projected score of New York Knicks 116, Golden State Warriors 110. The rating gap is 277 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.

The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Charles Bassey (GSW), expected back Oct 24, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Knicks by an average of 6.3 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 107, NYK 110.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Knicks2-3, -1.8 avg margin
Warriors1-4, -8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Warriors.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 15: GSW 107, NYK 110
  • Jan 15: NYK 113, GSW 126
  • Mar 15: NYK 94, GSW 97
  • Mar 4: GSW 114, NYK 102

Injury report

New York Knicks

No reported injuries.

Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Out · back Oct 24

Win Meter

74%
26%
KnicksWarriors

Projected score: Knicks 116, Warriors 110

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

74%
26%
KnicksWarriors

Matchup at a glance

NYKGSW
Record0-20-2
Last 5LWWLLLWLLL
Points per game101.5106.5
Allowed per game106.5119
Days of rest––
Rating17091432

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