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Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → New Orleans Pelicans →

Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday, January 6 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Trail Blazers at only 55%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 55%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 114, New Orleans Pelicans 113. The rating gap is 134 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 45 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Pelicans are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Pelicans' best recent win was 156-137 at home against UTA.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Branden Carlson (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Yves Missi (NOP). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 6-2, with the Trail Blazers outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 8.4 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 106, POR 118.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Pelicans1-4, -3.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 2: NOP 106, POR 118
  • Jan 2: POR 122, NOP 109
  • Dec 11: POR 120, NOP 143
  • Nov 12: POR 125, NOP 117
  • Jan 8: POR 119, NOP 100

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Out · back Oct 27
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Day to day · back Oct 24

Win Meter

55%
45%
Trail BlazersPelicans

Projected score: Trail Blazers 114, Pelicans 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

55%
45%
Trail BlazersPelicans

Matchup at a glance

PORNOP
Record2-00-2
Last 5LLLWWWLLLL
Points per game126119.5
Allowed per game101.5121.5
Days of rest––
Rating15441410

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