Game preview · Tue 8:00 PM MT

Detroit Pistons at Sacramento Kings: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Sacramento Kings →

Our ratings lean toward the Pistons on the road against the Kings on Tuesday, January 5, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pistons 74%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 116, Sacramento Kings 110. The rating gap is 281 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET) and Jalen Duren (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 3-1, with the Pistons outscoring the Kings by an average of 5.7 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 116, DET 139.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin
Kings1-4, -8.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Pistons arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-W-L-L-L).
  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Kings.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 25: SAC 116, DET 139
  • Dec 23: DET 136, SAC 127
  • Apr 7: SAC 127, DET 117
  • Dec 26: DET 114, SAC 113

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Day to day · back Oct 25
Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1

Win Meter

74%
26%
PistonsKings

Projected score: Pistons 116, Kings 110

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

74%
26%
PistonsKings

Matchup at a glance

DETSAC
Record2-00-2
Last 5LWLWWLWLLL
Points per game124.5108
Allowed per game112124.5
Days of rest––
Rating16361355

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