The edge goes to the Nuggets at home against the Suns on Tuesday, January 5, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 74%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 110, Denver Nuggets 116. The rating gap is 82 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22. The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, and Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Luke Kennard (PHX), Oso Ighodaro (PHX), and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 6-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Suns by an average of 12 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 125, PHX 123.