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Minnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets: preview and Win Meter

Minnesota Timberwolves → Houston Rockets →

The Win Meter favors the Rockets at home against the Timberwolves on Tuesday, January 5, at about 62%. That is a real edge, but the Timberwolves are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Rockets 62%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 112, Houston Rockets 115. The rating gap is 16 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 38 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.

Recent form

The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Rockets are 2-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.4.

The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.

The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027 and Reed Sheppard (HOU), expected back Oct 24, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 4-3, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Rockets by an average of 0.4 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 136, HOU 132.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Timberwolves3-2, -1.4 avg margin
Rockets4-1, +5.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Rockets.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: MIN 136, HOU 132
  • Mar 25: HOU 108, MIN 110
  • Jan 16: MIN 105, HOU 110
  • Feb 21: MIN 115, HOU 121
  • Feb 6: HOU 114, MIN 127

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2
Houston Rockets
  • Reed Sheppard Out · back Oct 24

Win Meter

38%
62%
TimberwolvesRockets

Projected score: Timberwolves 112, Rockets 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

38%
62%
TimberwolvesRockets

Matchup at a glance

MINHOU
Record2-02-0
Last 5WLLWWWWLWW
Points per game123121
Allowed per game99.5110
Days of rest––
Rating16001584

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