Game preview · Tue 6:00 PM MT

Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls: preview and Win Meter

Milwaukee Bucks → Chicago Bulls →

The edge goes to the Bulls at home against the Bucks on Tuesday, January 5, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Bulls 67%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 111, Chicago Bulls 115. The rating gap is 24 points in favor of the Bulls, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.

Recent form

The Bucks are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.6. The Bulls are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.

The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.

The Bucks were beaten 137-111 on the road by DET not long ago.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 5-4, with the Bucks outscoring the Bulls by an average of 3.6 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 132, MIL 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bucks1-4, -9.6 avg margin
Bulls2-3, -14 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bulls.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 23: CHI 132, MIL 125
  • Mar 1: MIL 97, CHI 120
  • Feb 3: CHI 115, MIL 131
  • Dec 27: MIL 112, CHI 103
  • Nov 7: CHI 110, MIL 126

Injury report

Milwaukee Bucks

No reported injuries.

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4

Win Meter

33%
67%
BucksBulls

Projected score: Bucks 111, Bulls 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

33%
67%
BucksBulls

Matchup at a glance

MILCHI
Record0-21-1
Last 5LWLLLWLLLW
Points per game120.5112
Allowed per game130130
Days of rest––
Rating13581382

More