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Los Angeles Lakers at Washington Wizards: preview and Win Meter

Los Angeles Lakers → Washington Wizards →

Our ratings lean toward the Lakers on the road against the Wizards on Tuesday, January 5, at about 75%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 75%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 117, Washington Wizards 110. The rating gap is 295 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Wizards are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Jake LaRavia (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: AJ Dybantsa (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 4-0, with the Lakers outscoring the Wizards by an average of 27.7 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 101, LAL 120.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin
Wizards1-4, -9 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Wizards.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 30: WAS 101, LAL 120
  • Jan 30: LAL 142, WAS 111
  • Jan 30: LAL 134, WAS 96
  • Jan 21: WAS 88, LAL 111

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 25
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 25
  • Jake LaRavia Out · back Oct 25
Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out · back Nov 2
  • Jamir Watkins Out · back Apr 2
  • AJ Dybantsa Day to day · back Oct 24

Win Meter

75%
25%
LakersWizards

Projected score: Lakers 117, Wizards 110

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

75%
25%
LakersWizards

Matchup at a glance

LALWAS
Record2-01-1
Last 5LLLWWLLLWL
Points per game126115
Allowed per game111114
Days of rest––
Rating15781283

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