The edge goes to the Hornets at home against the Hawks on Tuesday, January 5, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hornets 59%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 112, Charlotte Hornets 114. The rating gap is 39 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, and Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Coby White (CHA), Kon Knueppel (CHA), and Grant Williams (CHA). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 6-3, with the Hawks outscoring the Hornets by an average of 9.6 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 128, CHA 81.