Boston Celtics at Phoenix Suns on Monday, January 4 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Celtics at only 50%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 50%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 113, Phoenix Suns 113. The rating gap is 103 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 50 times in 100 games like this, the Suns would win.
Recent form
The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026 and Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Luke Kennard (PHX) and Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 4-0, with the Celtics outscoring the Suns by an average of 18.5 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 112, BOS 120.