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Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Atlanta Hawks → Philadelphia 76ers →

Our ratings lean toward the 76ers at home against the Hawks on Monday, January 4, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 59%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 112, Philadelphia 76ers 114. The rating gap is 35 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.

Recent form

The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2.

The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Dean Wade (PHI) and LeBron James (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 7-0, with the Hawks outscoring the 76ers by an average of 9.4 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 116, ATL 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hawks2-3, -8.4 avg margin
76ers2-3, -7.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 7: PHI 116, ATL 125
  • Feb 19: ATL 117, PHI 107
  • Dec 14: PHI 117, ATL 120
  • Nov 30: ATL 142, PHI 134
  • Apr 11: ATL 124, PHI 110

Injury report

Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • Dean Wade Questionable · back Oct 24
  • LeBron James Questionable · back Oct 24

Win Meter

41%
59%
Hawks76ers

Projected score: Hawks 112, 76ers 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

41%
59%
Hawks76ers

Matchup at a glance

ATLPHI
Record2-02-0
Last 5LLLWWLLLWW
Points per game130110
Allowed per game103103
Days of rest––
Rating15921557

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