The edge goes to the Pacers at home against the Bulls on Monday, January 4, at about 62%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pacers 62%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 112, Indiana Pacers 115. The rating gap is 17 points in favor of the Bulls, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 38 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.
Recent form
The Bulls are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: T.J. McConnell (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 7-1, with the Pacers outscoring the Bulls by an average of 7.6 points per game. The last meeting was IND 145, CHI 126.