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Cleveland Cavaliers at Houston Rockets: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → Houston Rockets →

Recent form is the story in Cleveland Cavaliers at Houston Rockets on Sunday, January 3. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Cavaliers have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Rockets 65%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 111, Houston Rockets 115. The rating gap is 11 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.

The recent-form gap

The Cavaliers are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17. The Rockets are 2-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.4.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), and Reed Sheppard (HOU), expected back Oct 24, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 4-0, with the Rockets outscoring the Cavaliers by an average of 8 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 100, HOU 117.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers0-5, -17 avg margin
Rockets4-1, +5.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Rockets.

Recent meetings

  • Dec 27: CLE 100, HOU 117
  • Nov 19: HOU 114, CLE 104
  • Jan 25: HOU 135, CLE 131
  • Jan 22: CLE 108, HOU 109

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out
Houston Rockets
  • Reed Sheppard Out · back Oct 24

Win Meter

35%
65%
CavaliersRockets

Projected score: Cavaliers 111, Rockets 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

35%
65%
CavaliersRockets

Matchup at a glance

CLEHOU
Record0-12-0
Last 5LLLLLWWLWW
Points per game106121
Allowed per game114110
Days of rest––
Rating15731584

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