Memphis Grizzlies at Orlando Magic on Sunday, January 3 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Magic about a 82% chance, and the Grizzlies would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Magic 82%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 108, Orlando Magic 118. The rating gap is 163 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2. The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Cedric Coward (MEM), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL), Jonathan Isaac (ORL), and Paolo Banchero (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 3-1, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Magic by an average of 6 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 109, MEM 126.