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Charlotte Hornets at Milwaukee Bucks: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Milwaukee Bucks →

The Win Meter favors the Hornets on the road against the Bucks on Sunday, January 3, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 63%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 115, Milwaukee Bucks 111. The rating gap is 195 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.

Recent form

The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2. The Bucks are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.6.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.

The Bucks were beaten 137-111 on the road by DET not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Coby White (CHA), Kon Knueppel (CHA), and Grant Williams (CHA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 5-2, with the Bucks outscoring the Hornets by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 121, MIL 122.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -11.2 avg margin
Bucks1-4, -9.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-W-L-W-L against L-W-L-L-L).
  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bucks.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 2: CHA 121, MIL 122
  • Dec 29: MIL 123, CHA 113
  • Nov 14: CHA 134, MIL 147
  • Nov 12: MIL 100, CHA 111
  • Feb 5: MIL 112, CHA 102

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Kon Knueppel Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Grant Williams Day to day · back Oct 24
Milwaukee Bucks

No reported injuries.

Win Meter

63%
37%
HornetsBucks

Projected score: Hornets 115, Bucks 111

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

63%
37%
HornetsBucks

Matchup at a glance

CHAMIL
Record1-10-2
Last 5WWLWLLWLLL
Points per game95.5120.5
Allowed per game115.5130
Days of rest––
Rating15531358

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