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Boston Celtics at Portland Trail Blazers: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → Portland Trail Blazers →

Boston Celtics at Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday, January 2 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Trail Blazers at only 55%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 55%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 113, Portland Trail Blazers 114. The rating gap is 65 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 45 times in 100 games like this, the Celtics would win.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Branden Carlson (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 3-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 6.2 points per game. The last meeting was POR 94, BOS 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Trail Blazers.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 26: POR 94, BOS 102
  • Dec 28: BOS 108, POR 114
  • Mar 23: BOS 129, POR 116
  • Mar 5: POR 118, BOS 128

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Out · back Oct 27

Win Meter

45%
55%
CelticsTrail Blazers

Projected score: Celtics 113, Trail Blazers 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

45%
55%
CelticsTrail Blazers

Matchup at a glance

BOSPOR
Record1-12-0
Last 5LLLLWLLLWW
Points per game110126
Allowed per game112101.5
Days of rest––
Rating16091544

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