Brooklyn Nets at Golden State Warriors on Saturday, January 2 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Warriors about a 78% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 78%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 109, Golden State Warriors 117. The rating gap is 123 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -16.4. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Charles Bassey (GSW), expected back Oct 24, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Nets by an average of 2.5 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 106, GSW 109.