New York Knicks at Denver Nuggets on Saturday, January 2 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Knicks at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 53%, with a projected score of New York Knicks 114, Denver Nuggets 113. The rating gap is 121 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.
Recent form
The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8. The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.
The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, and Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 4-0, with the Knicks outscoring the Nuggets by an average of 20.7 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 142, DEN 103.