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Boston Celtics at Utah Jazz: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → Utah Jazz →

The edge goes to the Celtics on the road against the Jazz on Friday, January 1, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Celtics 74%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 116, Utah Jazz 110. The rating gap is 284 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, and Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 3-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Jazz by an average of 9 points per game. The last meeting was BOS 129, UTA 119.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Jazz2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Jazz.

Recent meetings

  • Dec 30: BOS 129, UTA 119
  • Nov 3: UTA 105, BOS 103
  • Mar 21: BOS 121, UTA 99
  • Mar 10: UTA 108, BOS 114

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Out · back Oct 25

Win Meter

74%
26%
CelticsJazz

Projected score: Celtics 116, Jazz 110

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

74%
26%
CelticsJazz

Matchup at a glance

BOSUTA
Record1-11-1
Last 5LLLLWLWLLW
Points per game110111.5
Allowed per game112121
Days of rest––
Rating16091325

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