Game preview · Fri 6:00 PM MT

Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Milwaukee Bucks →

Our ratings lean toward the 76ers on the road against the Bucks on Friday, January 1, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 64%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 115, Milwaukee Bucks 111. The rating gap is 199 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.

Recent form

The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2. The Bucks are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.6.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.

The Bucks were beaten 137-111 on the road by DET not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Dean Wade (PHI) and LeBron James (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the 76ers outscoring the Bucks by an average of 1.4 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 106, PHI 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers2-3, -7.2 avg margin
Bucks1-4, -9.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bucks.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 12: MIL 106, PHI 126
  • Jan 27: MIL 122, PHI 139
  • Dec 5: PHI 116, MIL 101
  • Nov 20: PHI 123, MIL 114
  • Apr 3: MIL 126, PHI 113

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • Dean Wade Questionable · back Oct 24
  • LeBron James Questionable · back Oct 24
Milwaukee Bucks

No reported injuries.

Win Meter

64%
36%
76ersBucks

Projected score: 76ers 115, Bucks 111

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

64%
36%
76ersBucks

Matchup at a glance

PHIMIL
Record2-00-2
Last 5LLLWWLWLLL
Points per game110120.5
Allowed per game103130
Days of rest––
Rating15571358

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