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Los Angeles Lakers at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Los Angeles Lakers → New Orleans Pelicans →

The edge goes to the Lakers on the road against the Pelicans on Thursday, December 31, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 60%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 114, New Orleans Pelicans 112. The rating gap is 168 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

Recent form

The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Pelicans are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

The Pelicans' best recent win was 156-137 at home against UTA.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Jake LaRavia (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Yves Missi (NOP). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 7-0, with the Lakers outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 12.1 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 101, LAL 110.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin
Pelicans1-4, -3.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 3: NOP 101, LAL 110
  • Jan 6: LAL 111, NOP 103
  • Nov 30: NOP 121, LAL 133
  • Nov 14: LAL 118, NOP 104
  • Apr 4: NOP 108, LAL 124

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 25
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 25
  • Jake LaRavia Out · back Oct 25
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Day to day · back Oct 24

Win Meter

60%
40%
LakersPelicans

Projected score: Lakers 114, Pelicans 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

60%
40%
LakersPelicans

Matchup at a glance

LALNOP
Record2-00-2
Last 5LLLWWWLLLL
Points per game126119.5
Allowed per game111121.5
Days of rest––
Rating15781410

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