San Antonio Spurs at Charlotte Hornets on Thursday, December 31 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Spurs at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 53%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 114, Charlotte Hornets 113. The rating gap is 121 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Hornets would win.
Recent form
The Spurs are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4. The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.
The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 24, 2026, and Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Coby White (CHA), Kon Knueppel (CHA), and Grant Williams (CHA). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hornets lead 3-1, with the Hornets outscoring the Spurs by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 102, SAS 115.