New York Knicks at Utah Jazz on Wednesday, December 30 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 84% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 84%, with a projected score of New York Knicks 118, Utah Jazz 108. The rating gap is 384 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026 and Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 25, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 3-1, with the Knicks outscoring the Jazz by an average of 13 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 134, UTA 117.