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Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Phoenix Suns →

Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, December 30 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 57%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Suns 57%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 112, Phoenix Suns 114. The rating gap is 51 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 43 times in 100 games like this, the 76ers would win.

Recent form

The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2. The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Dean Wade (PHI), LeBron James (PHI), Luke Kennard (PHX), and Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 3-1, with the Suns outscoring the 76ers by an average of 3 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 109, PHX 103.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers2-3, -7.2 avg margin
Suns0-5, -22 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The 76ers arrive in better form (L-L-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Suns.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 7: PHI 109, PHX 103
  • Jan 20: PHX 116, PHI 110
  • Jan 6: PHX 109, PHI 99
  • Nov 4: PHI 116, PHX 118

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • Dean Wade Questionable · back Oct 24
  • LeBron James Questionable · back Oct 24
Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Luke Kennard Questionable · back Oct 24
  • Oso Ighodaro Doubtful · back Oct 24

Win Meter

43%
57%
76ersSuns

Projected score: 76ers 112, Suns 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

43%
57%
76ersSuns

Matchup at a glance

PHIPHX
Record2-00-1
Last 5LLLWWLLLLL
Points per game11083
Allowed per game103124
Days of rest––
Rating15571506

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