Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, December 30 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Raptors about a 90% chance, and the Wizards would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 90%, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 106, Toronto Raptors 120. The rating gap is 274 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 10 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Wizards are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, and Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: AJ Dybantsa (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 6-2, with the Raptors outscoring the Wizards by an average of 9.3 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 112, WAS 102.