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Orlando Magic at Charlotte Hornets: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → Charlotte Hornets →

Recent form is the story in Orlando Magic at Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday, December 29. The Hornets have won 3 of their last 5, while the Magic have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 69%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 111, Charlotte Hornets 116. The rating gap is 36 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Magic would win.

The recent-form gap

The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4. The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL), Jonathan Isaac (ORL), Paolo Banchero (ORL), and Coby White (CHA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Magic lead 6-3, with the Magic outscoring the Hornets by an average of 5 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 90, ORL 121.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin
Hornets3-2, -11.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-W-L-W-L against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hornets.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 17: CHA 90, ORL 121
  • Mar 19: ORL 111, CHA 130
  • Jan 22: CHA 124, ORL 97
  • Dec 26: CHA 120, ORL 105
  • Oct 30: ORL 123, CHA 107

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Day to day · back Oct 25
Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Kon Knueppel Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Grant Williams Day to day · back Oct 24

Win Meter

31%
69%
MagicHornets

Projected score: Magic 111, Hornets 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

31%
69%
MagicHornets

Matchup at a glance

ORLCHA
Record0-21-1
Last 5LLLLLWWLWL
Points per game10995.5
Allowed per game123.5115.5
Days of rest––
Rating15171553

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