New Orleans Pelicans at Toronto Raptors on Monday, December 28 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Raptors about a 81% chance, and the Pelicans would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 81%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 109, Toronto Raptors 118. The rating gap is 147 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Pelicans are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Pelicans' best recent win was 156-137 at home against UTA.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Yves Missi (NOP). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 3-1, with the Raptors outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 9.3 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 106, TOR 119.