Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday, December 27 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Lakers about a 87% chance, and the Grizzlies would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Lakers 87%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 107, Los Angeles Lakers 119. The rating gap is 224 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2. The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.
The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Cedric Coward (MEM), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Jake LaRavia (LAL), expected back Oct 25, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 6-1, with the Lakers outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 2.7 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 114, LAL 120.