The edge goes to the Timberwolves on the road against the Warriors on Sunday, December 27, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Warriors are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 60%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 114, Golden State Warriors 112. The rating gap is 168 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Warriors would win.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Charles Bassey (GSW), expected back Oct 24, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 8-5, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Warriors by an average of 3.8 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 127, GSW 117.