Our ratings lean toward the Spurs at home against the Hawks on Sunday, December 27, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 74%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 110, San Antonio Spurs 116. The rating gap is 82 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Spurs are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 24, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Spurs lead 4-0, with the Spurs outscoring the Hawks by an average of 11.3 points per game. The last meeting was SAS 126, ATL 98.