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Portland Trail Blazers at Detroit Pistons: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Detroit Pistons →

The edge goes to the Pistons at home against the Trail Blazers on Sunday, December 27, at about 75%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pistons 75%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 110, Detroit Pistons 117. The rating gap is 92 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Branden Carlson (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET) and Jalen Duren (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 4-0, with the Pistons outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 6 points per game. The last meeting was DET 110, POR 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pistons.

Recent meetings

  • Dec 22: DET 110, POR 102
  • Dec 5: POR 116, DET 122
  • Mar 9: DET 119, POR 112
  • Jan 6: POR 115, DET 118

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Out · back Oct 27
Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

25%
75%
Trail BlazersPistons

Projected score: Trail Blazers 110, Pistons 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

25%
75%
Trail BlazersPistons

Matchup at a glance

PORDET
Record2-02-0
Last 5LLLWWLWLWW
Points per game126124.5
Allowed per game101.5112
Days of rest––
Rating15441636

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