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Utah Jazz at Sacramento Kings: preview and Win Meter

Utah Jazz → Sacramento Kings →

The Win Meter favors the Kings at home against the Jazz on Sunday, December 27, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Kings 68%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 111, Sacramento Kings 115. The rating gap is 30 points in favor of the Kings, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Jazz would win.

Recent form

The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.

The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Kings lead 6-2, with the Kings outscoring the Jazz by an average of 6.4 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 111, SAC 116.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Jazz2-3, -3.2 avg margin
Kings1-4, -8.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Kings.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 15: UTA 111, SAC 116
  • Feb 11: SAC 93, UTA 121
  • Nov 28: SAC 119, UTA 128
  • Oct 24: UTA 104, SAC 105
  • Feb 26: SAC 118, UTA 101

Injury report

Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Out · back Oct 25
Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1

Win Meter

32%
68%
JazzKings

Projected score: Jazz 111, Kings 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

32%
68%
JazzKings

Matchup at a glance

UTASAC
Record1-10-2
Last 5LWLLWLWLLL
Points per game111.5108
Allowed per game121124.5
Days of rest––
Rating13251355

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