Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic on Sunday, December 27 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Magic about a 82% chance, and the Bucks would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Magic 82%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 109, Orlando Magic 118. The rating gap is 159 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Bucks are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.6. The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 137-111 on the road by DET not long ago.
The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026 and Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL), Jonathan Isaac (ORL), and Paolo Banchero (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 4-3, with the Magic outscoring the Bucks by an average of 2.1 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 130, MIL 91.