Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets on Sunday, December 27 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Thunder at only 54%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 54%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Houston Rockets 113. The rating gap is 126 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 46 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.
Recent form
The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4. The Rockets are 2-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.4.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Reed Sheppard (HOU), expected back Oct 24, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 5-3, with the Thunder outscoring the Rockets by an average of 5.1 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 112, OKC 106.