Memphis Grizzlies at LA Clippers on Saturday, December 26 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Clippers about a 83% chance, and the Grizzlies would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 83%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 108, LA Clippers 118. The rating gap is 178 points in favor of the Clippers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Grizzlies are 1-0 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Clippers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.4.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
The Clippers were beaten 116-97 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Cedric Coward (MEM), expected back Oct 25, 2026, Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 4-3, with the Clippers outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 1.3 points per game. The last meeting was LAC 123, MEM 120.