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Toronto Raptors at Orlando Magic: preview and Win Meter

Toronto Raptors → Orlando Magic →

Recent form is the story in Toronto Raptors at Orlando Magic on Saturday, December 26. The Raptors have won 3 of their last 5, while the Magic have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Magic 58%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 112, Orlando Magic 114. The rating gap is 40 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Raptors would win.

The recent-form gap

The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL), Jonathan Isaac (ORL), and Paolo Banchero (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 5-2, with the Raptors outscoring the Magic by an average of 7.6 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 87, TOR 139.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Raptors3-2, +7.6 avg margin
Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Raptors arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Magic.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 29: ORL 87, TOR 139
  • Jan 30: TOR 120, ORL 130
  • Dec 29: ORL 106, TOR 107
  • Mar 4: TOR 114, ORL 113
  • Mar 2: TOR 104, ORL 102

Injury report

Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

42%
58%
RaptorsMagic

Projected score: Raptors 112, Magic 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

41%
59%
RaptorsMagic

Matchup at a glance

TORORL
Record2-00-2
Last 5LWLWWLLLLL
Points per game123.5109
Allowed per game97123.5
Days of rest––
Rating15571517

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