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Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz: preview and Win Meter

Indiana Pacers → Utah Jazz →

The Win Meter favors the Jazz at home against the Pacers on Saturday, December 26, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Jazz 59%, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 112, Utah Jazz 114. The rating gap is 40 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.

Recent form

The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.

The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.

The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, and Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: T.J. McConnell (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Jazz outscoring the Pacers by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 131, IND 122.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pacers2-3, -1.4 avg margin
Jazz2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Jazz.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 3: UTA 131, IND 122
  • Nov 11: IND 128, UTA 152
  • Apr 4: UTA 112, IND 140
  • Feb 3: IND 112, UTA 111

Injury report

Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Ben Sheppard Out · back Dec 1
Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Out · back Oct 25

Win Meter

41%
59%
PacersJazz

Projected score: Pacers 112, Jazz 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

41%
59%
PacersJazz

Matchup at a glance

INDUTA
Record1-11-1
Last 5WLLWLLWLLW
Points per game114111.5
Allowed per game120.5121
Days of rest––
Rating13651325

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