Game preview · Sat 1:30 PM MT

Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Atlanta Hawks →

Our ratings lean toward the Hawks at home against the Hornets on Saturday, December 26, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Hornets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hawks 69%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 111, Atlanta Hawks 116. The rating gap is 39 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Hornets would win.

Recent form

The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2. The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Coby White (CHA), Kon Knueppel (CHA), and Grant Williams (CHA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 6-3, with the Hawks outscoring the Hornets by an average of 9.6 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 128, CHA 81.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -11.2 avg margin
Hawks2-3, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hawks.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 23: ATL 128, CHA 81
  • Feb 11: ATL 107, CHA 110
  • Feb 7: CHA 126, ATL 119
  • Dec 18: ATL 126, CHA 133
  • Nov 23: CHA 110, ATL 113

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Kon Knueppel Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Grant Williams Day to day · back Oct 24
Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20

Win Meter

31%
69%
HornetsHawks

Projected score: Hornets 111, Hawks 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

31%
69%
HornetsHawks

Matchup at a glance

CHAATL
Record1-12-0
Last 5WWLWLLLLWW
Points per game95.5130
Allowed per game115.5103
Days of rest––
Rating15531592

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