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Portland Trail Blazers at Washington Wizards: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Washington Wizards →

The edge goes to the Trail Blazers on the road against the Wizards on Saturday, December 26, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 72%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 116, Washington Wizards 110. The rating gap is 261 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Wizards are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Branden Carlson (POR), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: AJ Dybantsa (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 3-1, with the Trail Blazers outscoring the Wizards by an average of 13.5 points per game. The last meeting was WAS 88, POR 123.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Wizards1-4, -9 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Wizards.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 29: WAS 88, POR 123
  • Jan 27: POR 111, WAS 115
  • Mar 17: WAS 97, POR 112
  • Feb 26: POR 129, WAS 121

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Out · back Oct 27
Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out · back Nov 2
  • Jamir Watkins Out · back Apr 2
  • AJ Dybantsa Day to day · back Oct 24

Win Meter

72%
28%
Trail BlazersWizards

Projected score: Trail Blazers 116, Wizards 110

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

72%
28%
Trail BlazersWizards

Matchup at a glance

PORWAS
Record2-01-1
Last 5LLLWWLLLWL
Points per game126115
Allowed per game101.5114
Days of rest––
Rating15441283

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